A surplus of global air capacity has continued in the struggle of downward pricing pressure on all trade lanes.
As rates continue to fall, some industry experts tell the JOC that this has given air cargo shippers the “upper hand” as they head into the negotiation period for winter rates.
Niall Van De Wouw, Xeneta’s Chief Air Freight Officer said typically the month of July usually does not provide any kind of surprise in regards to unexpected performance levels in the global air cargo market.
He continued, “what will be concerning airlines and forwarders is the constant month-on-month decline in average rates and the quickening pace of this fall since the turn of the year.”
“We think that one of the key swing factors this year will be the level of confidence that retailers have in consumer demand and whether they err towards caution in rebuilding stocks,” Bruce Chen, a Senior Research Analyst at Stifel had to say in regards to the level of confidence in the air cargo market this year.
The Baltic Air Index has shown global air freight rates have improved slightly in the last week of July, but remain flat on the China to North America and North Europe routes, the JOC notes.